Oscars 2020: Can Parasite win Best Picture?

Parasite picked up a huge win for Best Ensemble at the SAG Awards. Can Bong Joon-ho’s masterpiece win Best Picture at the Oscars 2020?

There is a fever spreading across the country and it belongs to Parasite. This past weekend, Parasite made history when its cast won Best Ensemble at the 26th Screen Actors Guild Awards, becoming the first foreign language film to ever win the award. Can Parasite ride this momentum and win Best Picture at the Oscars 2020?

Before the SAG Awards, the clear frontrunner for Best Picture was1917, which won Best Motion Picture – Drama at the Golden Globes. However, after a stunning win at the SAGs, Parasite has injected itself into the conversation for Best Picture. Although 1917 is still the favorite, there is a road to a Best Picture win for Parasite. It’s not an easy road, but there is a path based on precedent.

Let’s start with what’s working in Parasite’s favor. The Best Ensemble winner at SAG Awards has won Best Picture 11 of the last 24 times. Those odds aren’t spectacular, but a Best Ensemble win can be the spark needed for an upset win at the Oscars as evidenced by 2005’s Crash and 2015’s Spotlight.

The Best Ensemble award was not the only important win for Bong Joon-ho’s masterpiece. Last Friday, Parasite won Film Editing for a Drama at the ACE Eddie Awards. Now, editor Jinmo Yang is the Oscar favorite in Best Editing. With wins at the SAG and ACE Eddie Awards, Parasite went from longshot to serious contender.

However, the South Korean thriller still has to overcome a fair amount of obstacles. Last Saturday,1917 won Best Picture at the Producers Guild Awards (PGA). Why is this significant? Since the award’s inception 30 years ago, 21 of the 30 winners at the PGA went on to win Best Picture at the Oscars including 10 of the past 12. Just last year, Green Book won Best Picture at the Globes and PGA before winning the top prize at the Oscars. Plus, no international feature film has ever won Best Picture at the Academy Awards.

1917 has experience on its side since Sam Mendes has previously won both Best Director and Best Picture at the Oscars. Both1917 and Parasite will look to become the first film since Slumdog Millionaire to win Best Picture without any acting nominations. However, Parasite has an important advantage over 1917 and that’s in Best Editing. Parasite has a Best Editing nomination while1917 was left out of the category. This works against 1917 because no film has ever won Best Picture without an editing or an acting nomination.

There are still a few important awards to be handed out before the Oscars, most notably the British Academy of Film and Television Arts and Directors Guild of America Awards. Wins here could propel both films to huge wins at the Oscars. The blueprint for a Parasite Best Picture win is there. It’s in the Academy’s hands, now.

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Can Parasite win Best Picture at the Oscars 2020? Leave your thoughts in the comments below!